Entries by Tony

Warsh Pick Jolts Vol: Jan 31, 2026




Market note: Jan 31, 2026 fell on a Saturday. Volatility products did not trade that day, so the moves below reflect the prior session, Friday’s Jan 30 close. Outline: Why volatility products moved Fed leadership shock lifted the market’s “policy uncertainty” premium after President Trump nominated Kevin Warsh as Fed chair, pushing traders to pay […]

A January Sigh: Volatility Pops | 2026-01-31T00:00:00.000-05:00




Outline (volatility products move explained) Equities took a late-month step back: A modest S&P 500 decline still mattered because positioning is crowded and January had been strong, a setup that tends to make small drops feel larger in options pricing. Headline risk concentrated in mega-caps: Earnings were good in aggregate, but the market’s reaction was […]

Volatility Woke Up | 2026-01-31T00:00:00.000-05:00




Weekly volatility brief (Saturday edition): Stocks faded into Friday’s close, and the market’s “insurance policies” finally got a little more expensive. The VIX finished the week higher, VVIX jumped even more, and the VIX futures curve stayed in its familiar upward slope, a reminder that traders priced a near-term wobble without declaring a full-blown volatility […]

Warsh Pick Jolts Volatility | 2026-01-31




Warsh Pick Jolts Volatility: VIX, VVIX, VXX, UVXY (Jan 31, 2026) Market brief: Friday’s selloff across U.S. equities nudged the volatility complex higher, with VIX up modestly and VVIX jumping more sharply, aly the kind of tape where investors do not panic, but they do pay up for optionality. Looking Back: What moved volatility products […]

Warsh Watch, VIX Up (Jan 31, 2026)




Warsh Watch, VIX Up (Jan 31, 2026) Friday’s tape had the feel of a team protecting a late lead: cautious, slightly jittery, and intensely aware that one bad bounce can change the whole game. Stocks finished lower into the weekend, and volatility products ticked higher as traders priced a fresh kind of uncertainty: what a […]

Market Pulse: The Warsh Effect and the Valuation Vertigo




Market Pulse: The Warsh Effect and the Valuation Vertigo There is a distinct texture to a market that is digesting a regime change. On Friday, the numbers—a 0.43% drop in the S&P 500, a 0.9% dip in the Nasdaq—felt less like a panic and more like a recalibration. The catalyst wasn’t an earnings miss or […]

The Volatility Playbook: Deciphering the Late January Surge in the VIX




Inside the quiet, windowless rooms where traders track the pulse of the American economy, the final hours of January 2026 felt less like a standard month-end wrap and more like the frantic final minutes of a playoff game. While the S&P 500 managed a respectable monthly gain of 1.8 percent, the sudden, jagged movement in […]

 Volatility & Market Recap: July 28 – August 1, 2025




Looking Back: Calm Turns to Caution VIX Movement: The VIX started the week calm at 15.03 (July 28), hovered in the 15–16 range, then surged to 20.38 by the close on August 1. This sharp jump marked a sudden return of market anxiety after weeks of low volatility. (Yahoo Finance VIX Data) Volatility ETFs: UVXY and VXX, which had been […]

📈 Volatility Recap: July 14–18, 2025 & The July 16th Spike Explained




US stocks hit new highs the week of July 14, 2025, but a Fed Chair firing rumor sparked a VIX spike on July 16. Discover what drove volatility and market risk.

📉Volatility Brief: Week of July 7, 2025 & Next Moves




US market volatility hit new lows in July 2025 as stocks soared. See what drove VIX, VXX, UVXY, and what risks could shake up markets this summer.

US Stock Market Volatility Recap & Outlook: June 30, 2025




US market volatility dropped in late June 2025—see why, what’s next for VIX, UVXY, and VXX, and which risks traders are watching now.

Volatility News Brief: Week of June 23, 2025




Why Volatility Products Moved the Way They Did (Week of June 23, 2025) Looking Back: The Week That Was Key source links:Morningstar: June 2025 Market Outlook | SWBC Weekly Review | S&P Global VIX commentary | CNBC 5 Things June 27 Looking Forward: What Could Move Volatility in July and August? Upcoming events and seasonality […]